We are flexible and inclusive in our strategic planning.
Our long-term planning process (LTPP) strategy includes the views of our stakeholders on how the rail industry can drive and support economic growth, and gives passenger and freight train operating companies the confidence to take their own strategic decisions in planning the future of their services.
The process also fulfils our licence obligations to plan the future capability of the network.
We designed our LTPP to be flexible. It’s important to us to consider the views of our customers, the rail industry, funders and specifiers and to develop the network to meet everyone’s needs.
The Office of Rail and Road approved the LTPP to inform planning for Control Period 6 (2019-2024) and for the longer term.
You can download our LTPP documents further down this page.
The LTPP looks at the long-term capability of the network up to 30 years into the future so that we can promote efficient use of network capability and capacity.
The LTPP replaces the Route Utilisation Strategy (RUS) process. It’s more flexible and it looks further ahead which means that the industry can develop potential infrastructure interventions and explore important strategic issues. As part of the LTPP, we maintain the RUS recommendations, a requirement set out in our licence condition.
You can still see our Route Utilisation Strategies and find out more about the RUS process by following the link in our list of documents on this page.
The LTTP research and consultation we do helps us to continually improve. We publish draft LTPP consultation documents for consultation online allowing for a consultation period of 90 days, so that Local Authorities and other stakeholders have time to brief their members on the work.
The responses received in the consultation process help to form the final document. Subject to any representations being upheld by the Office of Rail and Road, each study is then finalised 60 days later. The final versions are then published.
- Market studies, which identify the strategic goals for each market sector of the rail industry over the next 30 years. They forecast the level of demand and the opportunities that higher levels may bring, and calculate what would be needed in order to meet these strategic goals.
- Local studies, which bring together the suggested outputs for all the market sectors for a particular part of the network. They evaluate the trade-offs between these suggested outputs for the different sectors and between the outputs and costs (including the cost of changes to capability). The local studies then form a view of the likely long-term allocation of capacity between sectors in order to inform decisions on the appropriate capability of the network. Services that operate across one or more local study boundaries are considered by a cross-boundary analysis working group to provide input to individual local studies.
- Network-wide studies, which identify strategic choices and appraise solutions to network-wide issues, including the benefits and challenges of technological change across the network.
- Network and Route Specifications (10-year and 30-year views) to devolve network capability requirements to Strategic Route Sections for the whole country.
Through the LTPP we inform (and are informed by) funders’ decisions on industry outputs, although the way in which we do this may vary according to whether those decisions are made through the High Level Output Specification process, the franchising process or the enhancement framework.
For the High Level Output Specification process, the Network Route Specifications are expected to be the main source of proposals to put to funders in the Initial Industry Advice for Control Period 6 (2019-2024) and beyond.
The LTPP as a whole develops priorities for the various funding mechanisms such as the Network Rail Discretionary Fund, Strategic Freight Network and Scottish Small Projects fund.
LTPP outputs are available to train operating companies to inform franchise specifications and bids, and data from both the market and local study analysis is available to franchise bidders. This flexible process helps with efficient planning, and depends on individual franchise scenarios at the time work is developed.
Network Rail leads on the LTPP, working in partnership with the rail industry, key funders and specifiers (such as the Department for Transport, Transport Scotland, Welsh Government, Transport for London, and Integrated Transport Authorities), and local stakeholders where relevant, including local authorities.
It’s informed by stakeholder contributions as required, including from local authorities, Passenger Transport Executives, Local Economic Partnerships, the Association of Train Operating Companies, the Rail Freight Group and others.
The governance body for the whole of the LTPP is the Rail Industry Planning Group (RIPG). We manage and co-ordinate the constituent parts of the LTPP and are responsible for agreeing the programme of work with the Office of Rail Regulation.
The rail industry uses Government forecasting methodology to inform the LTTP, which considers a wide range of economic scenarios to assess expected demand.
All of our work to date points to further significant demand on Britain’s rail network. The industry developed the LTPP methodology to take into account the latest thinking on economic forecasting, modelling, and the benefits that the railway can bring, including consideration of the wider economic benefits of the rail network. Changes to the capability of the rail network take time to implement, and the LTPP allows the industry to keep up with increasing demand.
The timescales for the programme as a whole are designed to inform the High Level Output Specification for Control Period 6; and individual local studies will be designed wherever possible to finish a minimum of 18 months before the relevant franchise renewal(s).
You will find our long-term planning documents in the list below.
Long term planning
Rail freight forecasts: Scenarios for 2023/24, 2033/34 and 2043/44
The refreshed set of forecasts for 2023/24, 2033/34 and 2043/44 above supersedes the forecasts that were made in the 2013 Freight Market Study. It has been the subject of a consultation with the wider industry and is established as the main projection of freight market demand that we will use to inform our strategic planning work.